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Moral Luck: The Terrifying Paradox of Human Judgment

We like to believe that our moral compass is entirely in our own hands. We judge the criminal, praise the saint, and sleep soundly under the assumption that our character is the direct result of our autonomous choices. But what if the only thing separating a tragic mistake from a horrific crime is a gust of wind? Welcome to the unsettling philosophy of Moral Luck.

Coined by philosophers Bernard Williams and Thomas Nagel, this paradox shatters the “Control Principle”—the foundational belief that we should only be judged for what we can control. If two people make the exact same reckless choice, but only one causes a tragedy due to pure chance, why does society label one a fool and the other a monster?

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