For centuries, history has been treated as a grand narrative, a sequence of unique events driven by singular personalities and specific circumstances.
Anyone interested in this topic should read Goliath's Curse (the history and future of societal collapse) by Luke Kemp. Above all he points out 'stability' ain't all it's cracked up to be!
Hari Seldon would like a word...
Instant reaction here too.
Yeah, that's what jumped out at me too...
Sounds like Turchin just told Marx "Hold my beer, let me empirically verify historical materialism".
Is a «I told you so» in place? Karl Marx was right and a social-democratic welfare state is the best way to organize a society!
Yeah, I mentioned that in another comment. He's just re-packaging historical materialism with data, which is cool I guess.
It makes sense. When we cease to observe ourselves, we create very poor outcomes, and math supports this.
Anyone interested in this topic should read Goliath's Curse (the history and future of societal collapse) by Luke Kemp. Above all he points out 'stability' ain't all it's cracked up to be!
Hari Seldon would like a word...
Instant reaction here too.
Yeah, that's what jumped out at me too...
Sounds like Turchin just told Marx "Hold my beer, let me empirically verify historical materialism".
Is a «I told you so» in place? Karl Marx was right and a social-democratic welfare state is the best way to organize a society!
Yeah, I mentioned that in another comment. He's just re-packaging historical materialism with data, which is cool I guess.
It makes sense. When we cease to observe ourselves, we create very poor outcomes, and math supports this.